The Kaiser Family Foundations (KFF) has published an issue brief examining job loss, and therefore insurance loss, due to COVID-19 and eligibility for other health insurance options. KFF estimates that 26.8 million people in the United States will become uninsured due loss of to job-based health coverage if they do not sign up for other coverage.
Based on their analysis, KFF estimates that 79 percent of individuals who lost employer-based coverage are likely eligible for subsidized coverage, either through Medicaid (12.7 million individuals), or through the individual marketplace (8.4 million individuals). However, this leaves 5.7 million individuals who are not eligible for marketplace subsidies.
The issue brief also details eight states that have at least 1 million residents that have loss employer-based coverage: California, Texas, Pennsylvania, New York, Georgia, Florida, Michigan, and Ohio.